(Photo illustration by Nicole Vas / Los Angeles Times; Todd Martens / Los Angeles Times; Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times; Allen J. Schaben / Los Angeles Times; Unsplash)
Economic uncertainty, an unstable geopolitical climate and sticker shock at the local grocery store ($7 for a little pack of blueberries?) may have weighed heavily on the minds of consumers in 2023.
But that didn’t stop people from going out and having a ball.
Folks stretched their budgets for concert tickets, especially highly publicized megatours by Taylor Swift and Beyoncé. They flocked to sports games, got dressed up for “Barbenheimer” and emptied their wallets for vacations to Disneyland.
Look no further than the booming live music industry.
Swift’s Eras Tour grossed a record-smashing $1.04 billion in ticket sales from 60 shows this year, according to Pollstar, with some people spending more than $1,000 on a single pass. The data firm estimated that Swift’s sales in 2024 would take the tour’s total past $2 billion. Movies based on both Eras and Beyoncé’s Renaissance tour scored strong box office as well.
Total grosses for the top 100 tours worldwide surged 46% to $9.17 billion, compared with last year’s tally of $6.28 billion, Pollstar said last week. Actual attendance was up about 18%, meaning much of the revenue increase was driven by higher prices. On average, concertgoers shelled out $130.81 a pop for a concert pass, up 23% from last year.
On secondary markets, the prices are even higher. The average resale ticket cost is currently $230, according to ticketing firm SeatGeek, compared with $194 at the same time last year.
Economists have called this phenomenon “fun-flation,” and it was one of the defining features of consumer behavior during a spectacularly weird year.
With the venue reopenings after the shutdowns sparked by the COVID-19 pandemic, people often prioritized spending their discretionary income on experiences they couldn’t have during lockdown. And that demand drove prices skyward.
Prices for sporting events leaped 25% in October, compared with the same month a year earlier, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data cited by CNBC. During that period of time, consumer prices more broadly rose a modest 3.2%. Also in October, Disneyland prices increased, with single day passes going up as much as $15 (the lowest-tier one-day, one-park ticket price remained unchanged at $104).
Experts cite numerous factors that explain this trend.
Some have attributed it to “revenge spending” after shows, live sports and restaurants were largely off limits for many Americans and COVID-19 protocols such as mask requirements made going out less enjoyable.
Sanjay Sharma, who teaches at USC’s Marshall School of Business and has experience in the media and entertainment sector, cited a psychological need among consumers for a “balm,” a soothing distraction from international conflicts, economic stress (including higher interest rates) and divisive domestic politics.
Add to that the fact that buying physical goods has become a ho-hum exercise for so many people. If you want a new headset, cashmere scarf or anything, really, you could have it on your doorstep in a couple days, if not by this afternoon, thanks to Amazon and other ecommerce companies that provide rapid low-cost shipping.
Sharma described his experience of looking at a major newspaper’s list of suggested Christmas gift ideas and thinking, “I’ve got all this stuff, and everyone I know has all this stuff.”
At a time when “stuff” feels like it’s all becoming more digital, ephemeral and immediately available, experiences have remained unique and even feel more so these days. Sharma calls it “memorable fun,” those one-of-a-kind moments like a first concert or trip to Disney that people remember for years. With practically all the music in the world available on YouTube and streaming, of course a live concert will feel more valuable.
Sharma compares this dynamic to the difference between commuter cars and collectibles, or genuine works of art versus dime-a-dozen prints from Amazon or Target.
“Experiences are becoming more and more expensive because they are scarce, and affluent folks are driving up the price,” Sharma said. “What do you want? Another pair of headphones? Another kind of tchotchke or something like that? That has lost value. But experiences are rare, and that is why the prices are going up.”
Economic disparities drive prices, Sharma said. For well-off empty nesters, young professionals and recent graduates entering high-earning careers, spending $500 on a concert ticket might not be such a big deal. In fact for many people, these experiences are status symbols, as much as, or more so than, the latest iPhone, which everyone in their social circle has.
For middle-class and lower-middle-class families, those price tags can be a big ask. But some experiences are not repeatable, and that, plus the “fear of missing out” (FOMO), means that plenty of people will hold their noses and pay up anyway.
“Prices have become inelastic, because Taylor Swift can fit 50,000, 60,000, 70,000 people into a stadium, and that’s it,” Sharma said. “So if you want in, you have to pay for it.”
There are consequences of shows and sports games becoming more expensive. Making them a luxury activity by definition puts them out of reach for many consumers. People who used to go to concerts all the time might go less often. That, of course, hasn’t hurt Live Nation’s stock, which is up more than 25% so far this year.
Not all at-home entertainment has been devalued by Netflix and Amazon, though. 4K Ultra HD disc editions of Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” reportedly sold out in their first week of release, leaving the studio scrambling to replenish store shelves in time for the holidays. Now how’s that for supply and demand?